Uncertainty about the exact storm track and how cold it will be means there is less confidence in how much snow will accumulate near I-95. Precipitation totals — rain and snowmelt — will range from about 0.75 to 1.25 inches across much of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast.

The sweet spot for snow accumulation could stretch from central Pennsylvania to Massachusetts, where 6 to 12 inches could fall between Monday night and Tuesday. Vulnerable population centers include State College and Scranton in Pennsylvania; Poughkeepsie, NY; Hartford; Providence; and Springfield and Worcester in Massachusetts. Because it's a heavy, wet snow — especially at lower elevations — there's a risk of tree limbs and power outages.

However, with the storm still three days away, a zone of heavy snowfall could change. Some models suggest that the snow jackpot zone could be concentrated from inland New York (including Albany) to Vermont and New Hampshire and as far north as southern Maine. Under these conditions, less snow will fall from central Pennsylvania to Rhode Island and southern Massachusetts.

The storm will bring an unusually mild weekend to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast, with temperatures forecast to reach the 50s and 60s in some areas. Unusually warm weather has swept much of the nation this week, and as of Friday morning, snow covered only 27.6 percent of the contiguous U.S. — one of the three lowest percentages on record for the date.

Why is the snow forecast so uncertain near I-95?

On Sunday and Monday, cold air will move towards the northeast. But temperatures on Monday should reach the 40s to 50s along the I-95 corridor. The main ingredient for significant snow on I-95 is an area of ​​high pressure north of Canada that will push freezing air southward. But this storm lacked that ingredient.

By Tuesday morning, temperatures from New York City to Boston should drop to at least the mid-30s. But whether they fall to the right or below freezing depends on the exact track of the storm and how heavy the precipitation is. More precipitation will cool the lower atmosphere by a few degrees, increasing the odds of significant snow accumulation.

The National Weather Service office, which serves the New York City area, summed up the forecast uncertainty: “Small north-south changes in the low track will determine where the rain-snow line sets and how quickly coastal locations will turn to snow.”

Sunday to Monday: The storm begins late Sunday into Monday with heavy rain across the Southeast, where 1 to 3 inches of rain could fall from the Florida Panhandle north through Alabama, Georgia and the Carolinas. The Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center has highlighted the risk of severe thunderstorms on both days along the Gulf Coast, affecting New Orleans and Birmingham on Sunday and advancing to Tallahassee, Atlanta and Jacksonville on Monday.

Starting from Monday to Tuesday: Rain will spread north into Virginia on Monday, followed by rain, snow and gusty winds across Maryland, DC, West Virginia, Delaware, southern Pennsylvania and southern New Jersey Monday evening into early Tuesday morning.

Monday evening to Tuesday: A mix of rain, sleet, snow and strong winds will move through the Northeast and coastal New England Monday night and Tuesday, with heavy snow falling inland. Precipitation should move offshore by Tuesday evening, with onshore winds through Wednesday.

Forecast for the I-95 Corridor

Rain will arrive on Monday night, possibly in the wee hours of midnight, and will change to mostly snow moving north and west of the city on Tuesday morning. Even a little drizzle can mix.

Initial estimates call for between half an inch and 3 inches of snow in the city. But scenarios with more snow, perhaps 3 to 6 inches or less, are mixed with more rain. Chances of 3 inches or more are north and west of the city, while Long Island is likely to see less than an inch of snow or mostly rain.

Forecast confidence is low and thus subject to significant change because there is uncertainty about how heavy the snow will be and how cold it will be. Winds could reach 30 to 40 mph around the city and 40 to 50 mph on Long Island Tuesday and Tuesday night.

Showers will begin early Tuesday morning, probably after 2 a.m., before moving out Tuesday evening as temperatures drop to near or below freezing, turning to mostly or all snow by sunrise. Even a little drizzle can mix.

The first guess is 3 to 7 inches of snow. But forecast confidence is low due to uncertainty in the precise storm track and is subject to significant change. So a little more snow than that is possible, and less rain.

Wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph around Boston and 40 to 55 mph on Cape Cod are possible Tuesday through Wednesday. Minor to moderate coastal flooding is a concern in eastern Massachusetts, where the weather service predicts a rise of 1.5 to 2.5 feet during high tide.

Rain should start Monday evening, perhaps around 10 p.m., mixing with snow and sleet on Tuesday, tapering off by noon.

It looks like above-freezing temperatures will reduce snow potential to an inch or less, with the best chance for snow accumulation in grassy areas north of the city. But small changes in the storm track could make the forecast a bit snowier.

Winds will be 25 to 35 mph Tuesday and Tuesday night.

Rain should fall Monday afternoon into the evening, heavy at times Monday night, and possibly Tuesday morning, especially north and northwest of cities, with some snow or sleet mixing with snow by late afternoon.

Temperatures should remain above freezing throughout the storm, with a chance of light snow accumulations, mainly in grassy areas north and northwest of the Washington and Baltimore Beltway. Winds up to 35 mph are possible Tuesday through Wednesday.

Interior and mountain snow

Inland snow totals will range from 6 to 12 inches over central and northeastern Pennsylvania, the Hudson Valley, Connecticut, parts of Rhode Island, central and western Massachusetts, and far southern New Hampshire and Vermont. Higher elevations have higher levels because it is not cold enough to sustain snow. Parts of western Maryland and West Virginia could get about 3 to 6 inches less.

With the storm still a few days away, there is still room for fluctuating snowfall.

Jason Samenow contributed to this report.

In a video announcing his 2024 Senate bid to succeed Democratic Sen. Ben Cardin, Hogan said “Washington is completely broken” because “the willingness to put country before party is so rare.”

Using lines familiar to Maryland residents, he pitched his candidacy as generally anti-partisan, and he described himself as “like most Marylanders.”

“My fellow Marylanders, you know me,” he said. “For eight years we have proven that the toxic politics that divide our nation need not divide our state.”

The only popular and high-profile Republican in the race. Democratic Primary Rep. It has become a two-person race between Rep. David Drone (D-Md.) and Prince George's County Executive Angela Alsobrooks.

Two years ago, Sen. Hogan was favored by national Republicans to challenge Chris Van Hollen (D-Md.) and help the GOP hold the chamber's balance of power, but he declined after months of speculation.

“I don't aspire to be a United States senator, that fact hasn't changed,” Hogan said at the time.

The presidents did not give up.

“He's so popular,” Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell said in an interview Friday, “who would have thought we'd be able to run in a blue state like Maryland? We'll be clear.”

McConnell said the recruitment was a “boost” to Republican efforts to take back the Senate majority. The GOP's top targets are the open seat of West Virginia, where Gov. Jim Justice is running as a Republican and on a slippery slope to victory, and the red states of Montana and Ohio, where Democratic incumbents are looking to hold onto their seats.

Now Hogan's reversal will test the endurance of his popularity and whether Maryland's Democratic voters are willing to send a viable Republican to the U.S. Senate if it hurts Democrats nationally.

In a state where registered Democrats outnumber registered Republicans by 2 to 1, Hogan's electoral victory hinges on building a coalition: party loyalists, plenty of independents and some Democrats willing to cross party lines.

The Maryland Republican Party, which he leads, has lost many of its pro-Hogan leaders since his tenure, replacing supporters of former President Donald Trump, who Hogan has been a vocal critic of for years.

He is the successor of the Republican Governor-elect, Kelly M. Schulz lost the 2022 primary to far-right Dan Cox, who was close to Trump, and lost the general to Gov. Wes Moore (D) by more than 32 percent. points.

Cox is now in a crowded field seeking the Republican nomination for Maryland's most competitive congressional district, which straddles conservative Western Maryland.

Democrats criticized Hogan's nomination as an opportunity for Republicans to seize more power in Washington.

“A vote for Republican Larry Hogan is a vote to make Mitch McConnell majority leader and turn the Senate over to Republicans so they can pass a national abortion ban. Democrats have won statewide federal elections in Maryland for 44 years, and 2024 will be no different,” the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee said in a news release. Spokesperson Maeve Coyle said in a statement.

Deron and Allsbrooks, locked in their own high-profile battle for the Democratic nomination, each quickly attacked Hogan.

“Marylanders are tired of the empty promises of career politicians like Larry Hogan,” said Drone, a three-term congressman. “He talks about putting politics aside, but has spent his entire tenure as governor on partisan attacks with bad policy,” Drone said, pointing to “the ways Hogan has failed the city of Baltimore.”

And Brooks posted on X, “Maryland can't send an anti-Republican to the US Senate.”

Hogan has infuriated Maryland Democrats for years by calling abortion a settled law in Maryland — and his ability to ignore divisive social issues — focusing on pocketbook issues and criticizing politicians as nonpartisan.

Since leaving office a year ago, he has co-chaired the centrist group No Labels, which is trying to get presidential candidates on the ballot statewide to replace Presidents Biden and Trump.

He resigned as head of the organization in December.

Staff writer Liz Goodwin contributed to this report.

This is a developing story and will be updated.

The 345-page special counsel's report portrays Biden, 81, as someone who secretly kept notebooks and documents in his home, and had difficulty remembering important dates in his life. Republicans quickly seized on that harsh characterization to attack Democrats as unfit for office.

Special Counsel Robert K. Harr's statement also said Biden doesn't remember the year his son Beau died of cancer.

“How in the hell does he wake up,” the angry president told reporters summoned to the White House Thursday evening. “It's none of their bad business. … I don't need anybody to remind me when he died.

In an exchange with reporters that deflected from questions about possible national security crimes to the president's mental health over the U.S. response to the war in the Middle East, Biden insisted he had not improperly shared classified information with anyone and was fit to run for president. for re-election.

“I know what I'm doing,” he declared.

how, A White House interviewer of the president found evidence that Biden “deliberately retained and disclosed classified material to his ghostwriter while he was a private citizen.” The special counsel concluded, however, that the evidence “does not establish Mr. Biden's guilt beyond a reasonable doubt.” At the news conference, Biden denied releasing restricted information, saying he was careful to avoid any salient points when sharing his notes.

Prosecuting Biden is “unnecessary” based on a number of factors that would make it difficult to prove beyond a reasonable doubt that he broke the law, Harin's report concluded.

Among the issues examined by investigators is why Biden first told his ghostwriter in 2017 that he had classified information, but did not disclose it to authorities.

Ultimately, the report said, a jury would find Biden to be a sympathetic person and “a well-intentioned, well-meaning, elderly man.” Prosecutors suggested that Biden should not have been attacked after his term as vice president ended, as he was known to have kept classified documents.

Hurz reports, “It's difficult to convince a jury that they're guilty — and a former president in his eighties by then — for a serious crime that requires a deliberate state of mind.”

Hurr's team wrote that Biden's case is markedly different from that of former President Donald Trump, who was sued for retaining classified documents — Biden promptly returned the documents when asked, while Trump declined multiple opportunities to do so.

Read the full special counsel's report on President Biden's classified documents

Richard Saber, Biden's lawyer in the case over the documents, said he was pleased the investigation ended without charges, stressing in a statement that the president had “fully cooperated from day one.” Saber said every administration ends up with packing mistakes involving paperwork, and Biden's is no different.

Saber, however, criticized Huray for “several false and inappropriate comments” in the report. “However, the most important decision taken by the special counsel – that no charges are warranted – is firmly based on the facts and evidence,” he said.

In a response included in the report, “the report uses highly prejudicial language to describe a common phenomenon among witnesses: the inability to recall events that are years old.”

The special counsel's team conducted 173 interviews with 147 witnesses, including Biden, and collected millions of documents to compile the report. They said Biden cooperated with investigators and consented to multiple searches of his properties.

The Judiciary has long held the principle that sitting presidents cannot be charged, indicted or prosecuted for an alleged crime. But despite department policy, officials said in a statement that they would have decided not to pursue charges Impeachment of a sitting President is permitted.

Hurr also revealed in his statement that he considered filing criminal charges against Biden's ghostwriter after learning that he had deleted audio recordings of his conversations with Biden while writing the memoir.

“The recordings had significant evidentiary value,” the report said. The ghostwriter later told the FBI what he had done, turned over his computer and hard drive, and consented to their search, during which FBI agents were able to recover all of the deleted files, although parts were missing. Separately, the ghostwriter kept verbatim transcripts of his conversations and handed them over to investigators, the report said. In the end, prosecutors concluded that evidence of obstruction would probably not lead to a conviction.

The detailed report included photos of notes Biden took during his time as vice president, showing that he organized his notecards into binders to take them with him after he left office. One binder, for example, contained notes on secret meetings and briefings Biden took during his daily briefings and lunches with President Barack Obama.

Findings His assistants knew his note-taking methods could be a problem and discussed how he should store materials properly. The special counsel's investigation did not determine what Biden's staff instructed him to do with the items. But the report also noted that Biden was an official overwhelmed with knowledge of how to store classified material. They said he knew past presidents and vice presidents kept personal diaries and notes from their time in office — and he believed his notes might be kept in his home.

Attorney General Merrick Garland appointed Hur — a former U.S. attorney for Maryland — as special counsel in January 2023 after Biden's aides said they found items during a search of his home and office.

At the time, a separate special counsel investigation was underway into Trump's alleged mishandling of classified documents — which led to 40 federal criminal charges against the former president, including willfully withholding national security secrets and obstruction of justice. Garland said the special counsel appointments are necessary because both Trump and Biden have indicated they will run for president in 2024.

Harin's report includes a discussion of the Trump case arguing that there are significant differences between the Trump and Biden cases. Among them: Trump allegedly thwarted efforts by officials to retrieve government goods on multiple occasions.

“Unlike the evidence implicating Mr. Biden, the allegations in Mr. Trump's indictment, if proven, would present serious aggravating factors,” the report continued. Among the most notable: “After being given multiple opportunities to turn over classified documents and avoid prosecution, Mr. Trump allegedly did the opposite.”

The Republican front-runner for the 2024 GOP nomination said Trump doesn't blame Biden It was evidence of a two-tiered justice system that treated him worse than his Democratic rivals.

“I did nothing wrong, I just cooperated more,” Trump said. Even as he ran for office, he often complained that the judiciary was engaging in election interference against him by pursuing criminal charges against him.

Harr's report portrayed Biden as well-intentioned, sometimes hapless and forgetful, a man with decades of access to classified material. In government. The special counsel noted that Biden's 2017 memoir ultimately contained no classified information.

In their interviews with the president, lawyers said Biden sometimes struggled to recall basic facts about his career and his life — an explanation that goes to the heart of the polls, his most important political responsibility, voter sentiment. Too old for his office.

“He couldn't remember when he was vice president, forgot on the first day of the interview after his term ended ('It was 2013 – when was I vice president?'), and forgot on the second day of the interview when his term began ('In 2009, was I still vice president?' '),” the statement said.

The report described Biden as not remembering “even in years” when his son Beau died. It is He said his memory is “hazy” in even describing the discussion about Afghanistan, which “was once very important to him.” Biden noted that he had agreed to an interview for hours in early October, even while dealing with the international crisis sparked by the October 7 attack on Israel by Hamas.

Other details in the report add to the portrait of an older, less depressed president. Jurors, Harr wrote, “may ultimately be struck by where the Afghan documents were found in Mr. Biden's Delaware home: in a badly damaged box in the garage, next to a collapsed dog crate, a dog bed, a Zappos box, an empty bucket, a broken lamp covered in duct tape, potting soil and artificial Firewood.”

In an early sign of how Republicans will use the report against Biden, Republican National Committee Chairwoman Rona McDaniel said the report proved Biden had a “mental breakdown” that was “sad and dangerous.”

“Putting a 'sympathetic,' 'elderly' man back in the Oval Office reliving major events of his own life will undoubtedly make America insecure,” he said.

Prosecutors concluded that Biden He kept some of the classified material because he believed he was an important figure in American history and because that history should reflect his opposition to sending more troops to Afghanistan in 2009. The report said Biden “always believed that history would prove him right.”

Some classified documents are classified as “Top Secret/Sensitive Information,” a category reserved for particularly sensitive material. They include documents related to Afghanistan, including a 2009 memo he sent to Obama, the report said, “as a last-ditch effort to persuade him not to send more troops to Afghanistan.”

In a taped conversation with his ghostwriter in early 2017, shortly after his term as vice president ended, Biden said he “found all the classified stuff down.” At the time, Biden was living in a rented house in Virginia.

John Wagner and Jacqueline Alemany contributed to this report.